Real Avilés Industrial vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UPL
2 - 1
AVI
33%
28%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 1
TIN
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PRA
0 - 3
AVI
11%
21%
68%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
AVI
1 - 0
COL
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 3
AVI
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
TUI
20%
24%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 1
ATL
51%
25%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
ROB
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 0
ATL
35%
27%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
GIN
57%
24%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |