Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
18º
6º
34
3º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 10 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 8 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ADT
1 - 2
GAR
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
COM
3 - 3
GAR
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
GAR
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 0
CDG
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 2
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
4 - 0
UTC
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |