Tercera División RFEF VII - Region of Madrid Round 28

Real Aranjuez CF vs Trival Valderas analysis

Real Aranjuez CF Trival Valderas
19 ELO 26
-14.2% Tilt 2.8%
10284º General ELO ranking 8680º
743º Country ELO ranking 455º
ELO win probability
29.7%
Real Aranjuez CF
25.9%
Draw
44.4%
Trival Valderas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
Real Aranjuez CF
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.4%
Win probability
Trival Valderas
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Aranjuez CF
+15%
-41%
Trival Valderas

Points and table prediction

Real Aranjuez CF
Their league position
Trival Valderas
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
16º
16º
37
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Madrid C
67
70
93%
CD Ursaria
65
68
93%
Getafe B
51
54
100%
RSD Alcalá
47
47
46%
Las Rozas
45
46
18.5%
México FC
45
45
58%
CD Móstoles
45
45
70%
Trival Valderas
37
37
69.5%
Galapagar
36
36
39.5%
AD Torrejón CF
10º
35
35
10º
19%
CF Pozuelo
11º
34
35
11º
28%
Rayo Vallecano B
12º
33
34
12º
42%
CD Canillas
13º
32
32
13º
15.5%
Atlético C
14º
31
32
14º
32.5%
CDE Fuenlabrada Promesas
15º
29
32
15º
32%
Real Aranjuez CF
16º
16
16
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Aranjuez CF
Trival Valderas
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Real Aranjuez CF
Trival Valderas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Aranjuez CF
Real Aranjuez CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2023
RVB
Rayo Vallecano B
6 - 0
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
70%
17%
13%
21 28 7 0
26 Mar. 2023
ARA
Real Aranjuez CF
0 - 2
Galapagar
GAL
28%
25%
47%
21 25 4 0
19 Mar. 2023
LRZ
Las Rozas
0 - 0
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
77%
14%
9%
20 32 12 +1
12 Mar. 2023
ARA
Real Aranjuez CF
2 - 3
RSD Alcalá
ALC
24%
26%
50%
21 29 8 -1
05 Mar. 2023
URS
CD Ursaria
5 - 1
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
76%
16%
9%
21 41 20 0

Matches

Trival Valderas
Trival Valderas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2023
RMA
Real Madrid C
5 - 0
Trival Valderas
VAL
78%
14%
8%
26 38 12 0
26 Mar. 2023
VAL
Trival Valderas
4 - 0
Rayo Vallecano B
RVB
31%
25%
44%
26 28 2 0
19 Mar. 2023
GAL
Galapagar
1 - 3
Trival Valderas
VAL
55%
23%
22%
25 26 1 +1
12 Mar. 2023
VAL
Trival Valderas
0 - 1
Las Rozas
LRZ
28%
26%
45%
25 31 6 0
04 Mar. 2023
ALC
RSD Alcalá
1 - 0
Trival Valderas
VAL
47%
27%
27%
26 29 3 -1