Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
SSR
1 - 0
ARA
33%
28%
40%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
ARA
0 - 3
UDL
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
CDM
1 - 1
ARA
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
ARA
0 - 3
COL
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
FUE
0 - 0
ARA
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 1
TAL
38%
29%
33%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
CDO
0 - 2
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
LUG
3 - 3
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
MST
0 - 2
LUG
39%
29%
32%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
LUG
3 - 1
GAL
54%
25%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |