Real Aranjuez CF vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
RMC
1 - 0
ARA
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ARA
0 - 0
MST
21%
26%
53%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
RVB
2 - 0
ARA
51%
26%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ARA
1 - 1
GET
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ATC
0 - 1
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
SFN
0 - 1
ALC
20%
25%
54%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 0
SFN
45%
28%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
SFN
1 - 1
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
SNF
2 - 0
SFN
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
SFN
1 - 1
PNT
39%
28%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |