Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 3
COL
51%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TVA
1 - 0
ARA
25%
23%
51%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 1
CDO
82%
13%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LAA
3 - 2
ARA
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 0
LUG
33%
27%
41%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 2
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
LUG
33%
28%
40%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
TVA
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CDO
0 - 2
LUG
15%
25%
60%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |