Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CLA
0 - 3
ARA
18%
20%
63%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
LAA
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VLO
3 - 2
ARA
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 2
CAR
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ARG
0 - 2
ARA
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDF
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALA
3 - 3
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
PBO
88%
9%
2%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARG
0 - 0
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
BET
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |