Reading vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
REA
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
QPR
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BIR
2 - 1
REA
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NTT
1 - 1
REA
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
REA
3 - 0
SHW
60%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
LUT
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
STO
1 - 0
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
BRE
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DER
0 - 1
MIL
38%
28%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
DER
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |