Reading vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
REA
0 - 0
WOL
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
IPS
2 - 1
REA
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
REA
4 - 0
WAL
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
SHW
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
REA
5 - 2
HUR
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUL
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SHW
1 - 1
BUR
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 1
BUR
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
BUR
4 - 1
DER
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 3
BUR
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |