Reading vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 2
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
REA
0 - 0
DER
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
LEE
2 - 4
REA
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BHA
1 - 1
REA
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
YEO
68%
19%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOU
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 3
LEI
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
NTT
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HUR
5 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |