Reading vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
74.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
BOU
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
BBU
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
BPO
1 - 1
REA
19%
25%
57%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
CAR
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
REA
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
11%
20%
70%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ARS
4 - 1
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
ARS
16%
22%
62%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
ARS
22%
24%
54%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 0
WHU
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |