Re FK vs Larvik Turn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Re FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LYN
9 - 0
RFK
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
RFK
0 - 6
FKT
9%
15%
77%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RFK
0 - 8
FVI
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
IKS
13 - 1
RFK
88%
8%
3%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
RFK
1 - 9
SFO
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Larvik Turn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 5
FVI
76%
15%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
IKS
5 - 0
LAR
30%
21%
49%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 3
SFO
78%
13%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RIL
5 - 0
LAR
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -4 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
LAR
18%
20%
62%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |