RCD Carabanchel vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
13.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
PUE
4 - 0
CAR
65%
18%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
CAR
4 - 0
GUA
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
CAR
4 - 2
AVI
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
AGR
2 - 1
CAR
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
CAR
3 - 0
GDE
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
ARA
2 - 1
GIM
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
MOR
1 - 1
ARA
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
LEG
1 - 1
ARA
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
ARA
2 - 0
DBN
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
UBC
1 - 0
ARA
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |