RB Brasil vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
RBB
1 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
RBB
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
RBB
1 - 0
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
RBB
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
RBB
0 - 0
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
MIR
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
4 - 0
VEL
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAT
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |