Rayo vs Noves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
9 - 2
RAY
83%
11%
6%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RAY
4 - 3
VAL
31%
21%
48%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ESC
2 - 1
RAY
57%
21%
23%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 2
TDR
52%
20%
28%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
RAY
47%
22%
31%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
NOV
8%
13%
80%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
5 - 2
GUA
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 6
NOV
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
TAL
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |