Rayo vs Camarena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
38.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
POL
4 - 2
RAY
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
2 - 2
BAR
63%
17%
20%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 2
RAY
28%
19%
53%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
3 - 4
ALC
74%
13%
13%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TAL
1 - 2
RAY
25%
19%
56%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Camarena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
RCC
56%
20%
25%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
CAM
58%
20%
22%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 5
NOV
29%
21%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAM
29%
21%
51%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
VIL
21%
19%
61%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |