Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 1
EXT
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
RAY
2 - 2
BET
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
PON
1 - 1
RAY
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 0
LUG
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
RAY
5%
13%
81%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 2
VIL
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
GIR
0 - 3
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ORI
1 - 2
VIL
5%
15%
80%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 2
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |