Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
RAY
2 - 3
FCB
8%
15%
77%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 2
RAY
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GIR
2 - 1
RAY
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 1
ATH
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 2
GET
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
RAP
0 - 0
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEV
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
ALM
3 - 3
VIL
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
5 - 0
RAP
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |