Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
PON
2 - 1
RAY
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
OSA
4 - 2
RAY
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1973 |
RAY
2 - 1
CDB
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
RAY
2 - 1
MLL
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
UES
2 - 0
RAY
61%
25%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
VCF
0 - 0
GRA
71%
18%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
FCB
0 - 0
VCF
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATM
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
VCF
0 - 0
UDL
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
SPO
1 - 1
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |