Rayo Vallecano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
SFE
3 - 0
RAY
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
RAY
1 - 3
CEU
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1960 |
SSC
1 - 1
RAY
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
PUL
3 - 1
RAY
74%
16%
11%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
RAY
0 - 2
CDT
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
RJA
2 - 1
CCF
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
CAD
6 - 0
RJA
59%
21%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
RJA
0 - 1
UDL
51%
23%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
VAL
1 - 0
RJA
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |