Rayo Vallecano vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
16%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CDO
0 - 1
RAY
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RAY
3 - 1
VEC
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ULP
0 - 0
RAY
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
RMC
0 - 1
RAY
59%
22%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
RAY
0 - 1
DEP
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 4
RMC
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
DEP
1 - 1
LUG
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 1
FUE
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PPJ
2 - 0
LUG
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LUG
3 - 3
RSI
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |