Rayo Sanluqueño vs Castellar UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDV
3 - 0
RAY
26%
23%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RAY
3 - 1
CDS
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AFI
2 - 3
RAY
45%
23%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAY
2 - 0
JSA
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
JOS
0 - 1
RAY
32%
22%
47%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castellar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
UDT
54%
21%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 2
CAS
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
7 - 1
CHI
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
UUD
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDV
2 - 2
CAS
40%
24%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |