Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 2-5
Rápido de Bouzas vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rápido de Bouzas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 4
CEL
22%
24%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
BOU
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 2
BOU
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 2
BOU
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 0
CEL
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 0
CAT
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SDA
1 - 3
BUR
19%
26%
55%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 2
BOU
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 2
BUR
15%
24%
62%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
UNA
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |