Rapid Wien II vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 0
RAP
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
RAP
1 - 6
STR
5%
15%
80%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 0
EIS
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
KRE
5 - 1
BAU
66%
20%
15%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2002 |
BAU
0 - 5
EIS
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
NEU
0 - 1
BAU
66%
20%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
BAU
0 - 0
AUS
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |