Rapid Lienz vs Welzenegg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 1
RAP
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
RAP
8 - 1
SVP
76%
16%
9%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 1
BLE
43%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 1
RAP
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 1
LEN
46%
25%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
WEL
1 - 1
VOL
32%
25%
43%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 1
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
WEL
0 - 2
TRE
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UMA
0 - 1
WEL
39%
25%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
MIC
2 - 2
WEL
46%
25%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |