Rapid Lienz vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2016 |
TRE
2 - 2
RAP
64%
20%
15%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 0
MIC
66%
21%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 3
RAP
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 0
SPI
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 2
RAP
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
WOL
4 - 0
FLC
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
FLC
5 - 0
TRE
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
MIC
3 - 4
FLC
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FLC
2 - 2
GLO
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 3
FLC
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |