Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
4º
33
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloria Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 0
RAP
78%
13%
8%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
6 - 1
SGH
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ACS
0 - 0
RAP
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 1
RAP
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
VAS
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CSM Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SGH
0 - 1
CSM
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 0
BUC
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TII
4 - 0
CSM
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AER
1 - 3
CSM
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AER
1 - 1
CSM
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |