Liga III Round 4

Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacău analysis

Gloria Ultra CSM Bacău
20 ELO 36
0.3% Tilt -2.5%
9722º General ELO ranking 7848º
120º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
22.7%
Gloria Ultra
21.9%
Draw
55.4%
CSM Bacău

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
Gloria Ultra
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.4%
Win probability
CSM Bacău
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gloria Ultra
+55%
-20%
CSM Bacău

Points and table prediction

Gloria Ultra
Their league position
CSM Bacău
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
33
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Bacău
44
44
100%
Ştiinţa Miroslava
36
37
100%
CSM Bacău
33
33
100%
Gloria Ultra
30
30
0%
CSM FC Vaslui
30
30
0%
Bucovina Rădăuţi
25
25
100%
Şomuz Fălticeni
15
18
100%
Soimii Gura Humorului
13
14
100%
USV Iaşi
12
12
100%
Ceahlăul II
10º
8
8
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gloria Ultra
CSM Bacău
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Gloria Ultra
CSM Bacău
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gloria Ultra
Gloria Ultra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2024
ACS
FC Bacău
1 - 0
Gloria Ultra
RAP
78%
14%
9%
19 38 19 0
07 Sep. 2024
RAP
Gloria Ultra
6 - 1
Soimii Gura Humorului
SGH
85%
10%
5%
18 9 9 +1
30 Aug. 2024
ACS
Şomuz Fălticeni
0 - 0
Gloria Ultra
RAP
71%
17%
12%
18 34 16 0
07 Aug. 2024
PAC
Paşcani
2 - 1
Gloria Ultra
RAP
58%
21%
21%
18 21 3 0
31 Jul. 2024
RAP
Gloria Ultra
1 - 1
CSM FC Vaslui
VAS
18%
22%
60%
18 27 9 0

Matches

CSM Bacău
CSM Bacău
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2024
SGH
Soimii Gura Humorului
0 - 1
CSM Bacău
CSM
13%
19%
68%
36 9 27 0
07 Sep. 2024
CSM
CSM Bacău
2 - 0
Bucovina Rădăuţi
BUC
34%
25%
41%
34 36 2 +2
31 Aug. 2024
TII
Ştiinţa Miroslava
4 - 0
CSM Bacău
CSM
40%
25%
36%
36 31 5 -2
07 Aug. 2024
AER
Aerostar Bacău
1 - 3
CSM Bacău
CSM
26%
26%
47%
35 26 9 +1
31 Jul. 2024
AER
Aerostar Bacău
1 - 1
CSM Bacău
CSM
26%
26%
48%
36 25 11 -1