Liga III Group 1 - Promotion Round 4

Gloria Ultra vs FC Bacău analysis

Gloria Ultra FC Bacău
27 ELO 45
-4.6% Tilt -3.7%
9739º General ELO ranking 5636º
120º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
20.6%
Gloria Ultra
20.3%
Draw
59.1%
FC Bacău

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
Gloria Ultra
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
59.1%
Win probability
FC Bacău
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gloria Ultra
+55%
+50%
FC Bacău

Points and table prediction

Gloria Ultra
Their league position
FC Bacău
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
62
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Bacău
62
21
100%
Ştiinţa Miroslava
50
16
100%
CSM Bacău
44
11
100%
Gloria Ultra
34
4
100%
Expected probabilities
Gloria Ultra
FC Bacău
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Gloria Ultra
FC Bacău
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gloria Ultra
Gloria Ultra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
TII
Ştiinţa Miroslava
2 - 3
Gloria Ultra
RAP
70%
16%
14%
28 39 11 0
29 Mar. 2025
RAP
Gloria Ultra
0 - 1
CSM Bacău
CSM
41%
23%
36%
28 34 6 0
21 Mar. 2025
ACS
FC Bacău
6 - 2
Gloria Ultra
RAP
74%
15%
11%
29 45 16 -1
14 Mar. 2025
RAP
Gloria Ultra
3 - 2
Bucovina Rădăuţi
BUC
34%
23%
43%
27 35 8 +2
08 Mar. 2025
USV
USV Iaşi
0 - 3
Gloria Ultra
RAP
23%
21%
57%
27 17 10 0

Matches

FC Bacău
FC Bacău
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
CSM
CSM Bacău
3 - 1
FC Bacău
ACS
25%
26%
49%
46 35 11 0
28 Mar. 2025
ACS
FC Bacău
2 - 1
Ştiinţa Miroslava
TII
54%
23%
23%
46 40 6 0
21 Mar. 2025
ACS
FC Bacău
6 - 2
Gloria Ultra
RAP
74%
15%
11%
45 29 16 +1
14 Mar. 2025
ACS
FC Bacău
7 - 0
CSM FC Vaslui
VAS
59%
22%
19%
44 34 10 +1
08 Mar. 2025
CSM
CSM Bacău
0 - 1
FC Bacău
ACS
28%
27%
46%
44 35 9 0