Ranero U19 vs CFS El Progreso U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+126%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
8º
16º
9º
35
10º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
6º
|
80.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
78% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ranero U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 1
RAN
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 1
EDM
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
RAN
72%
17%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 1
UCA
7%
14%
78%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
RAN
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CFS El Progreso U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 2
ADM
16%
18%
67%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
EFM
1 - 0
PRO
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 2
VDF
31%
22%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CDM
4 - 2
PRO
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 2
PRO
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |