Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 0
RAN
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RAN
0 - 0
FCN
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ESB
4 - 0
RAN
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
RAN
1 - 0
ACH
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RAN
0 - 1
BIF
44%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCK
0 - 0
AGF
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AGF
0 - 0
ACH
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SIF
3 - 1
AGF
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
AGF
0 - 1
ESB
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BIF
3 - 2
AGF
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |