Scottish Championship Round 15

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United analysis

Raith Rovers Ayr United
60 ELO 56
-2.8% Tilt -2.9%
1076º General ELO ranking 853º
16º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
58.1%
Raith Rovers
23.1%
Draw
18.7%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.8%
Win probability
Ayr United
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Raith Rovers
+14%
-14%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2009
GRE
Greenock Morton
5 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
35%
28%
38%
61 54 7 0
07 Nov. 2009
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
50%
26%
24%
62 62 0 -1
31 Oct. 2009
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
50%
26%
24%
61 62 1 +1
24 Oct. 2009
DUN
Dundee
2 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
57%
24%
19%
62 67 5 -1
17 Oct. 2009
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
43%
26%
31%
61 64 3 +1

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2009
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 1
Ross County FC
ROS
38%
27%
35%
55 63 8 0
07 Nov. 2009
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Queen of the South
QOS
34%
26%
40%
56 65 9 -1
31 Oct. 2009
AIR
Airdrieonians
3 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
41%
27%
32%
57 54 3 -1
24 Oct. 2009
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 5
Inverness CT
ICT
34%
26%
40%
58 67 9 -1
17 Oct. 2009
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
53%
25%
22%
58 62 4 0