Rain / Lech vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 0
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ISM
5 - 1
RAI
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RAI
0 - 2
BAY
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 1
RAI
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
RAI
1 - 1
FRO
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIK
4 - 1
ILL
24%
24%
51%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 1
VIK
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
VIK
1 - 1
ISM
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIK
0 - 5
BAY
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
VIK
4 - 0
EIN
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |