Rain / Lech vs Memmingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
RAI
1 - 1
BUC
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
ISM
4 - 2
RAI
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RAI
2 - 0
FRO
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BAY
2 - 0
RAI
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ERB
1 - 2
RAI
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MEM
3 - 0
FRO
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
MEM
3 - 0
BAD
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BAY
0 - 3
MEM
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ANS
0 - 2
MEM
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ROS
1 - 3
MEM
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |