Rain / Lech vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 2
RAI
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RAI
2 - 3
NUR
18%
21%
60%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 1
186
15%
21%
65%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
WUR
5 - 2
RAI
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RAI
2 - 4
HEI
30%
23%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ING
1 - 0
BAY
27%
24%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 0
ING
25%
22%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ING
2 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ING
4 - 1
VIK
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 6
ING
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |