Rågsveds vs Smedby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
14º
13º
29
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 35 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
49% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
76% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
76% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rågsveds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HUD
1 - 1
RIF
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
2 - 1
RIF
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
RIF
1 - 2
ASI
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
RIF
1 - 0
SYR
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +3 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NYK
3 - 0
RIF
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SME
0 - 1
FOF
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SLE
3 - 2
SME
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SME
0 - 2
MFF
4%
12%
84%
|
40 | 82 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SME
0 - 3
HAN
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ESK
1 - 2
SME
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |