RAFC vs BFC Siófok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RAFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ERD
4 - 0
RAF
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
RAF
0 - 4
CSE
8%
19%
73%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SBA
3 - 0
RAF
84%
12%
4%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
RAF
0 - 4
BUD
5%
14%
81%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
RKM
2 - 1
RAF
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Siófok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BEK
3 - 1
BFC
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BFC
0 - 0
CEG
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 2
BFC
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BFC
1 - 2
GYI
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
BFC
1 - 2
VAR
21%
25%
55%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |