Racing Castrelos vs Nieto CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
62.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GON
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
5 - 0
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
GDM
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CRI
0 - 1
CAS
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nieto CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NIE
4 - 2
CHA
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TEI
2 - 4
NIE
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NIE
3 - 0
VIL
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NIE
3 - 0
CHA
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GON
0 - 9
NIE
18%
19%
64%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |