Third Division Malta Normal Season Round 5

Rabat Ajax vs Mtarfa analysis

Rabat Ajax Mtarfa
44 ELO 38
0.3% Tilt -10.4%
8411º General ELO ranking 5250º
48º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Rabat Ajax
21.3%
Draw
20%
Mtarfa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Rabat Ajax
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20%
Win probability
Mtarfa
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rabat Ajax
-72%
-1%
Mtarfa

ELO progression

Rabat Ajax
Mtarfa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rabat Ajax
Rabat Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2023
SIG
Siggiewi
0 - 2
Rabat Ajax
RAB
13%
19%
68%
43 25 18 0
06 Oct. 2023
RAB
Rabat Ajax
4 - 0
St. Venera
VEN
82%
12%
6%
43 25 18 0
24 Sep. 2023
KAL
Kalkara
2 - 4
Rabat Ajax
RAB
57%
23%
21%
41 44 3 +2
16 Sep. 2023
RAB
Rabat Ajax
2 - 1
Mellieha
MEL
74%
16%
11%
41 30 11 0
15 Apr. 2023
ZAB
Zabbar St. Patrick
3 - 0
Rabat Ajax
RAB
76%
16%
8%
41 55 14 0

Matches

Mtarfa
Mtarfa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
MTA
Mtarfa
2 - 4
Qrendi
QRE
33%
25%
43%
39 45 6 0
07 Oct. 2023
XGH
Xghajra Tornados
1 - 2
Mtarfa
MTA
53%
20%
27%
38 38 0 +1
23 Sep. 2023
SIG
Siggiewi
0 - 4
Mtarfa
MTA
21%
21%
59%
37 27 10 +1
16 Sep. 2023
MTA
Mtarfa
4 - 0
St. Venera
VEN
79%
13%
8%
37 21 16 0
23 Apr. 2023
ATT
Attard
5 - 2
Mtarfa
MTA
68%
19%
13%
38 47 9 -1