Cearense 1 Relegation Playoffs Round 3

Quixadá vs Itapipoca analysis

Quixadá Itapipoca
47 ELO 40
6.6% Tilt 0.1%
6703º General ELO ranking 6413º
283º Country ELO ranking 262º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Quixadá
22.1%
Draw
20.4%
Itapipoca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Quixadá
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
Itapipoca
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Quixadá
-16%
+92%
Itapipoca

ELO progression

Quixadá
Itapipoca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Quixadá
Quixadá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2016
TIR
Tiradentes CE
1 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
47%
24%
28%
47 46 1 0
05 Mar. 2016
QUI
Quixadá
2 - 0
Icasa
ICA
47%
25%
29%
46 47 1 +1
03 Mar. 2016
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
2 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
46%
25%
29%
47 48 1 -1
27 Feb. 2016
QUI
Quixadá
0 - 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
62%
22%
16%
48 43 5 -1
25 Feb. 2016
TIR
Tiradentes CE
2 - 2
Quixadá
QUI
46%
25%
29%
48 46 2 0

Matches

Itapipoca
Itapipoca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2016
ICA
Icasa
1 - 4
Itapipoca
ITA
62%
21%
18%
39 46 7 0
05 Mar. 2016
ITA
Itapipoca
0 - 2
Tiradentes CE
TIR
33%
27%
41%
41 45 4 -2
26 Feb. 2016
MAR
Maranguape
2 - 0
Itapipoca
ITA
39%
25%
36%
42 40 2 -1
21 Feb. 2016
ITA
Itapipoca
0 - 0
Icasa
ICA
31%
27%
43%
42 48 6 0
13 Feb. 2016
UNI
Atlético Cearense
0 - 1
Itapipoca
ITA
49%
24%
27%
41 43 2 +1