Quixadá vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 4
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
QUI
27%
24%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 2
QUI
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
QUI
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |