Cearense 1 1st Round Round 18

Quixadá vs Ferroviário analysis

Quixadá Ferroviário
46 ELO 48
12.1% Tilt 5.7%
6909º General ELO ranking 2640º
281º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
48%
Quixadá
24.2%
Draw
27.9%
Ferroviário

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
Quixadá
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.9%
Win probability
Ferroviário
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Quixadá
-16%
-40%
Ferroviário

ELO progression

Quixadá
Ferroviário
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Quixadá
Quixadá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2014
HOR
Horizonte
1 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
66%
19%
14%
46 57 11 0
15 Feb. 2014
CRA
Crato
1 - 2
Quixadá
QUI
34%
25%
41%
45 40 5 +1
12 Feb. 2014
QUI
Quixadá
0 - 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
53%
23%
24%
46 47 1 -1
09 Feb. 2014
QUI
Quixadá
4 - 1
Icasa
ICA
23%
24%
54%
44 62 18 +2
07 Feb. 2014
ITA
Itapipoca
2 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
38%
25%
36%
45 43 2 -1

Matches

Ferroviário
Ferroviário
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2014
TIR
Tiradentes CE
2 - 4
Ferroviário
FER
49%
25%
26%
47 46 1 0
15 Feb. 2014
HOR
Horizonte
2 - 2
Ferroviário
FER
69%
19%
12%
47 57 10 0
13 Feb. 2014
FOR
Fortaleza EC
3 - 1
Ferroviário
FER
78%
15%
7%
47 64 17 0
07 Feb. 2014
FER
Ferroviário
5 - 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
52%
24%
24%
46 47 1 +1
05 Feb. 2014
ITA
Itapipoca
1 - 0
Ferroviário
FER
39%
27%
34%
47 41 6 -1