Quissamã vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quissamã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 1
QUI
22%
23%
56%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 2
QUI
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 0
TIG
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 0
QUI
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
5 - 1
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
IFC
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 2
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
BON
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 1
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
ITA
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |