Quirigua vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
QUI
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 3
UNI
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 1
DEP
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 1
SAC
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
SAC
55%
26%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
MIX
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |