Quinto vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 2
QUI
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 3
MAL
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PED
0 - 0
QUI
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 2
FUE
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 0
QUI
25%
25%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDM
3 - 1
TAU
57%
22%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UDS
2 - 0
UDM
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
4 - 5
UDM
48%
25%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UDM
0 - 0
MAL
56%
22%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PED
1 - 2
UDM
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |