Quinto vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 2
QUI
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 1
AND
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ACF
2 - 1
QUI
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 1
ALF
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LAA
2 - 1
QUI
48%
24%
29%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
HER
0 - 7
EPI
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HER
4 - 2
CDC
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
CEL
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |