QRM vs Orléans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 2
QUE
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
QUE
0 - 2
NIO
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
QUE
2 - 2
PFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
SPI
0 - 1
QUE
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LYO
1 - 0
QUE
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Orléans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2012 |
ORL
2 - 0
BRC
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ORL
1 - 1
BAY
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 1
ORL
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 1
ORL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
ORL
1 - 2
SPI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |