QRM vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AMI
0 - 5
QUE
7%
13%
80%
|
61 | 22 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NÎM
2 - 1
QUE
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ETA
1 - 3
QUE
6%
13%
82%
|
61 | 10 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 0
TFC
17%
24%
59%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ROD
3 - 0
QUE
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SBI
0 - 1
ASN
6%
12%
83%
|
61 | 12 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 2
ROD
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LDP
1 - 3
ASN
6%
12%
83%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NIO
1 - 3
ASN
41%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 0
SOC
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |