QRM vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 2
QUE
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 0
PSG
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AAC
0 - 1
QUE
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 0
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
QUE
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 3
ARR
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
ARR
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
ESW
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |