QRM vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AAC
0 - 1
QUE
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 1
SED
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 2
QUE
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
RED
1 - 0
QUE
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
LEN
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
4 - 3
ARR
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ASB
2 - 1
ARR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 5
ARR
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |