Queen of the South vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 3
QOS
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
ICT
1 - 0
QOS
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
QOS
0 - 3
FOR
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
QOS
0 - 0
ALL
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1999 |
STI
1 - 3
QOS
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
ARB
1 - 0
STI
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARB
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALL
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
ARB
0 - 3
CLY
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 1999 |
ARB
2 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |